One quick judgment call

There are no right answers. We're after your read of the situation.

You drive to work most mornings. An app estimates how long the drive will take, and you decide when to head out.

Here’s what the app predicted over the last 15 days, next to how long the drive actually took:

App predicted Actual drive
Show the numbers

If you go with it and it’s off, you’ll either be sitting around with time to spare or cutting it closer than you’d like.

Would you plan tomorrow’s drive around the app’s estimate, or go with your own sense of how long it takes?
How many minutes would you actually give yourself?
Why?
Do you drive somewhere on a regular schedule (work, school, anything)?

Optional (all three can be skipped)

Age (optional)
Gender (optional)
Country or region (optional)

Thanks, that's it.

Your answer was recorded. This is part of a study comparing how people and AI models decide when a forecast stops being worth using.

Everyone sees a slightly different version of the scenario. That variation is the whole point, and it's why the answer isn't obvious.

You've already taken this one.

Thanks. One response per person keeps the numbers honest.